Comment prenons-nous nos décisions ? Qu'est-ce qui guide nos préférences et nos jugements ? Quand faut-il faire confiance à notre intuition ? Tels sont les fils rouges de cet ouvrage, dans lequel Daniel Kahneman nous emmène à la rencontre étonnante des deux «personnages» qui se partagent notre esprit.
Looks at the way our minds work, and how we make decisions. This book reveals how our minds are tripped up by error and prejudice (even when we think we are being logical), and gives you practical techniques for slower, smarter thinking. It enables you to make better decisions at work, at home, and in everything you do.
From the multi-million copy bestselling author of Thinking Fast and Slow Daniel Kahneman, the co-author of the million-copy bestseller Nudge Cass Sunstein, and the eminent professor and writer on strategic thinking Oliver Sibony, a new book about how to make better decisions.
We make thousands of decisions every day, from minute choices we don''t even know we''re making up to great, agonising deliberations. But when every decision we make is life-changing, the way we reach them matters. And for every decision, there is noise.
This book teaches us how to understand all the extraneous factors that impact and bias our decision-making - and how to combat them and improve our thinking. Filled with new science, fascinating case studies and revealing practical examples, the skills this book teaches can be readily used by private or public institutions, by schools, hospitals, businesses, judges and in our everyday lives.
In this work the author, a recipient of the Nobel Prize in Economic Sciences for his seminal work in psychology that challenged the rational model of judgment and decision making, has brought together his many years of research and thinking in one book. He explains the two systems that drive the way we think. System 1 is fast, intuitive, and emotional; System 2 is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. He exposes the extraordinary capabilities, and also the faults and biases, of fast thinking, and reveals the pervasive influence of intuitive impressions on our thoughts and behavior. He reveals where we can and cannot trust our intuitions and how we can tap into the benefits of slow thinking. He offers practical and enlightening insights into how choices are made in both our business and our personal lives, and how we can use different techniques to guard against the mental glitches that often get us into trouble. This author's work has transformed cognitive psychology and launched the new fields ofbehavioral economics and happiness studies. In this book, he takes us on a tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think and the way we make choices.
Dès qu'il y a jugement, il y a bruit. Quand deux médecins posent des diagnostics différents pour le même patient, quand deux juges attribuent des peines plus ou moins lourdes pour le même crime, quand deux responsables de ressources humaines prennent des décisions opposées à propos d'un candidat à un poste, nous sommes face au bruit.
Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony et Cass R. Sunstein montrent dans ce livre que le bruit exerce des effets nocifs dans de nombreux domaines : médecine, justice, protection de l'enfance, prévision économique, recrutement, police scientifique, stratégie d'entreprise... Pourtant, le bruit reste méconnu. Il est la face cachée de l'erreur de jugement. Noise nous propose des solutions simples et immédiatement opérationnelles pour réduire le bruit dans nos jugements et prendre de meilleures décisions.
Le prochain livre qui va changer votre façon de penser. Un best-seller mondial.
« Un tour de force d'érudition et de clarté. » The New York Times « Une leçon d'humilité devant nos erreurs. » The Financial Times « Tous les chercheurs, les décideurs politiques, les dirigeants et les consultants devraient lire ce livre. » The Washington Post
The Sunday Times bestseller ''A monumental, gripping book ... Outstanding'' Sunday Times Wherever there is human judgement, there is noise.
'' Noise may be the most important book I''ve read in more than a decade. A genuinely new idea soexceedingly important you will immediately put it into practice. A masterpiece'' Angela Duckworth, author of Grit ''An absolutely brilliant investigation of a massive societal problem that has been hiding in plain sight'' Steven Levitt, co-author of Freakonomics From the world-leaders in strategic thinking and the multi-million copy bestselling authors of Thinking Fast and Slow and Nudge , the next big book to change the way you think.
Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients - or that two judges in the same court give different sentences to people who have committed matching crimes. Now imagine that the same doctor and the same judge make different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday, or they haven''t yet had lunch. These are examples of noise: variability in judgements that should be identical.
In Noise , Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony and Cass R. Sunstein show how noise produces errors in many fields, including in medicine, law, public health, economic forecasting, forensic science, child protection, creative strategy, performance review and hiring. And although noise can be found wherever people are making judgements and decisions, individuals and organizations alike commonly ignore its impact, at great cost.
Packed with new ideas, and drawing on the same kind of sharp analysis and breadth of case study that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge international bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise and bias in decision-making. We all make bad judgements more than we think. With a few simple remedies, this groundbreaking book explores what we can do to make better ones.